The decoupling of American and Chinese supply chains is beginning to show up in the data in ways that are reshaping global commerce. New research documents a significant diversification of US import sources away from China and toward alternative suppliers in Southeast Asia, India, and Mexico.
The shift is driven by a combination of policy pressure β including tariffs, export controls on advanced technology, and incentives for domestic manufacturing β and corporate risk management decisions made in response to pandemic-era supply chain disruptions.
Vietnam has emerged as perhaps the biggest winner of this restructuring, with its exports to the United States nearly tripling over the past five years as manufacturers relocated production from Chinese factories. India, Mexico, and several Eastern European nations have also captured significant new manufacturing investment.